Table 5 Time series analysis (ARIMA): Effect of availability of ACT and number of CHWs trained on morbidity and mortality due to malaria in Est Mono district
Variables | Coefficient | p-value | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
Effect on morbidity (number of suspected and confirmed malaria cases) | |||
Rainfall | 1.62 | 0.054 | −0.028 – 3.258 |
Average temperature | −219.67 | 0.000 | −318.523 – -120.827 |
Number of CHWs trained | 6.779 | 0.002 | 2.486 – 11.073 |
Use of ACT | −982.90 | 0.129 | −2253.491 – 287.687 |
Constant | 7136.4 | 0.000 | 4371.517 – 9901.284 |
Effect on mortality (number of death attributed to malaria) | |||
Rainfall | −0.0008 | 0.841 | −0.009 – 0.007 |
Average temperature | −1.107 | 0.000 | −1.610 – -0.604 |
Number of CHWs trained | −0.012 | 0.178 | −0.031 – 0.006 |
Use of ACT | 2.748 | 0.305 | −2.508 – 8.005 |
Constant | 35.955 | 0.000 | 22.259 – 49.651 |