Figure 5

Impact of LLINs, CM or both on EIR, episodes and DALYs at periodic stable state. Ratios of results for intervention scenarios (a, d and g: long lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs); b, e and h scaled up case management (CM); and c, f and i both LLINs and scaled-up CM) and non-intervention scenarios (low CM only) calculated for means over the last 60 years of individual runs of 125 years, with 10 unique seeds per input EIR and model variant combination, for outcomes a, b and c: entomological inoculation rate (EIR): d, e and f: episodes; and g, h and i: disability adjusted life years (DALYs). Lines connect median values of groups of the ten seeds with the same input EIR and model variant. Model variants[12]: R0001 = solid black lines and circles; R0063 = solid red lines and circles; R0065 = solid lime green lines and circles; R0068 = solid blue lines and circles; R0111 = solid cyan lines and circles; R0115 = solid magenta lines and circles; R0121 = solid yellow lines and circles; R0125 = solid grey lines and circles; R0131 = dashed black lines and crosses; R0132 = dashed red lines and crosses; R0133 = dashed lime green lines and crosses; R0670 = dashed blue lines and crosses; R0674 = dashed cyan lines and crosses; R0678 = dashed magenta lines and crosses. Red polygons show ranges.