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Figure 9 | Malaria Journal

Figure 9

From: Towards seasonal forecasting of malaria in India

Figure 9

Skill maps of System-4 malaria forecasts in September, October and November. Skill maps of malaria incidence show the area under the ROC curve for the System-4 forecast seasonal time series (see Figure 1b) averaging months three to five from a July start date against a-c) ERAI (1981–2010), d-f) IMD (1981–2002) and g-i) TRMM precipitation and ERAI temperature (TRMM-ERAI, 1998–2010) for high (above the upper tercile, left column), above average (above the median, central column) and low (below the lower tercile, right column) malaria occurrence. Regions where the ROC area is statistically-significant are stippled. The two boxes enclose the regions of interest in Northwest and Northeast India.

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