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Table 2 Posterior estimates of regression coefficients and variances of random effects of different models for winter

From: Mapping malaria incidence distribution that accounts for environmental factors in Maputo Province - Mozambique

Model

Alpha

Beta[1]

Beta[2]

Variance U

Variance V

DIC

Year 2001

No covariates

1.11

(0.79, 1.43)

-

-

0.0035

(2.1E-04, 1.37)

0.19

(7.6E-04,0.699)

106.9

Temperature covariate

3.53

(1.22,6.12)

3.54

(0.27, 7.38)

-

0.0038

(2.14E-04, 1.4)

0.191

(7.6E-04, 0.69)

106.9

Rainfall covariate

3.8

(1.32, 6.27)

-

4.12

(0.32, 7.95)

0.0034

(2.1E-04, 1.34)

0.195

(8.7E-04, 0.71)

106.9

Both covariates

-1.46

(-6.95,1.73)

-8.88

(-18.99,-3.33)

2.25

(-2.58,17.7)

0.0044

(2.1E- 04,1.51)

0.183

(5.93E-04,0.69)

106.9

Year 2002

No covariates

1.33

(1.02, 1.61)

-

-

0.0089

(2.3E-04,1.72)

0.18

(4.2E-04,0.72)

106.8

Temperature covariate

2.22

(-1.75,5.67)

-2.42

(-16.3, 11.7)

-

0.009

(2.2E-04, 1.75)

0.185

(4.0E-04, 0.77)

106.9

Rainfall Covariate

3.32

(-0.79, 7.11)

-

4.11

(-4.27,11.6)

0.078

(2.5E-04, 2.1)

0.133

(3.0E-04, 0.78)

106.9

Both covariates

-0.719

(-2.51, 1.11)

5.498 (0.696,12.2)

-0.223

(-6.26,4.06)

0.282

(2.7E-04, 2.04)

0.089

(2.9E-04,0.638)

106.8

  1. Beta [1] - temperature and Beta [2] - rainfall. Credibility intervals at 95% in brackets