Table 3 Posterior estimates of regression coefficients and variances of random effects of different models for summer
Model | Alpha | Beta[1] | Beta[2] | Variance U | Variance V | DIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year 2001 | ||||||
No covariates | 1.12 (0.82, 1.47) | - | - | 0.0042 (2.2E-04, 1.62) | 0.18 (5.4E-04,0.67) | 112.5 |
Temperature covariate | 1.12 (-2.16, 3.81) | 0.014 (-3.94,4.69) | - | 0.0042 (2.1E-04, 1.48) | 0.182 (6.1E-04, 0.67) | 112.3 |
Rainfall covariate | 1.62 (-1.15, 5.36) | - | -0.851 (-6.54,3.28) | 0.0048 (2.2E-04, 1.54) | 0.18 (5.57E-04,0.67) | 112.5 |
Both covariates | -1.89 (-4.7, -0.36) | 1.99 (0.56,4.13) | 2.83 (0.39, 5.04) | 0.0036 (2.1E-04, 1.35) | 0.192 (8.83E-04,0.69) | 112.4 |
Year 2002 | ||||||
No covariates | 1.34 (1.11, 1.65) | - | - | 0.0052 (2.2E-04, 1.49) | 0.196 (5.6E-04,0.72) | 112.3 |
Temperature covariate | -2.23 (-5.22,0.99) | 1.62 (0.18, 2.97) | - | 0.027 (2.48E-04,1.78) | 0.16 (3.58E-04,0.68) | 112.4 |
Rainfall Covariate | 1.73 (-1.27, 4.58) | - | -0.999 (-10.6, 8.8) | 0.0072 (2.3E-04,1.73) | 0.184 (3.71E-04,0.71) | 112.4 |
Both covariates | -4.25 (-7.29,-2.04) | 2.23 (1.46, 2.85) | 4.71 (-3.54,11.3) | 0.034 (2.4E-04,1.93) | 0.143 (3.4E-04,0.679) | 112.4 |