Modelling the implications of stopping vector control for malaria control and elimination

Malaria Journal

Table 1 Simulation outputs for elimination and resurgence: here column labelled \(\mathbf {Elim}\) shows the number of scenarios and the column labelled % shows the percentage of scenarios

Var.	Lev.	\(\mathbf {Elim}_0\)	%₀	\(\mathbf {Elim}_1\)	%₁	\(\mathbf {Elim}_{\text{all}}\)	%_all
Elim.	0	31,232	100.0	0	0.0	31,232	31.0
Elim.	1	0	0.0	69,544	100.0	69,544	69.0
p < 0.0001	All	31,232	100.0	69,544	100.0	100,776	100.0
Resur.	0	1530	4.9	44,263	63.6	45,793	45.4
Resur.	1	29,702	95.1	25281	36.4	54,983	54.6
p < 0.0001	All	31,232	100.0	69,544	100.0	100,776	100.0

The subscript 0 denotes scenarios where elimination did not occur; 1 denotes scenarios where elimination occurred; and all summarizes the results for all scenarios. The rows for the variable, Elim. correspond to the scenarios where elimination occurred (Lev. 1) or did not occur (Lev. 0), and for the variable, Resur. correspond to the scenarios where resurgence occurred (Lev. 1) or did not occur (Lev. 0). The entries for the rows for elimination are trivial in this table but are included here for consistency with the other tables

ISSN: 1475-2875