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Table 9 Linear regression of input model parameters on severity of resurgence

From: Modelling the implications of stopping vector control for malaria control and elimination

Dependent variable

 

Severity

 

Case Management Coverage

− 22.556***

(− 24.298, − 20.813)

EIR

25.260***

(25.017, 25.502)

(10x) Active Surv. Cov.

− 22.729***

(− 23.277, − 22.180)

0.2 ITN

114.306***

(113.099, 115.513)

0.5 ITN

92.247***

(91.040, 93.454)

0.8 ITN

82.173***

(80.966, 83.380)

IIR 1

13.928***

(12.883, 14.973)

IIR 10

42.540***

(41.495, 43.586)

R0063

− 6.713***

(− 8.973, − 4.454)

R0065

− 9.736***

(− 11.994, − 7.477)

R0068

− 13.044***

(− 15.303, − 10.786)

R0111

− 0.193

(−2.451, 2.066)

R0115

− 3.134***

(− 5.392, − 0.876)

R0121

1.154

(− 1.104, 3.412)

R0125

7.293***

(5.035, 9.552)

R0131

3.567***

(1.309, 5.825)

R0132

9.814***

(7.556, 12.072)

R0133

4.119***

(1.861, 6.377)

R0670

2.113*

(− 0.145, 4.371)

R0674

18.419***

(16.161, 20.677)

R0678

19.057***

(16.799, 21.315)

Constant

− 84.218***

(− 86.361, − 82.076)

Observations

100,776

 

R2

0.490

 

Adjusted R2

0.490

 

Residual Std. Error

69.120 (df = 100,754)

 

F Statistic

4,603.479*** (df = 21; 100,754)

 
  1. The number before “ITN” refers to the coverage of LLINs. The number after “IIR” refers to the importation rate in infections per 1000 people per year. The entries “R0063” through “R0678” refer to model variants (as described in more detail in the section, “Model variants”)
  2. * p < 0.1
  3. ** p < 0.5
  4. *** p < 0.01