Probability untreated malaria becomes severe | Age group | Source | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Transmission intensity | Under 5 | 5 to 10 | 10+ | Â |
Low | 0.075 | 0.05 | 0.01 | [25, 32, 41]; supplemented by expert opinion (Chris Whitty, Hugh Reyburn) |
Medium | 0.075 | 0.01 | 0.004 | Â |
High | 0.075 | 0.01 | 0.0015 | Â |
CFR severe malaria | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Â |
Probability untreated NMFI becomes severe | 0.01 | 0.005 | 0.010 | Â |
CFR NMFI | 0.1 | 0.20 | 0.30 | Â |