Fig. 6
From: Application of mathematical modelling to inform national malaria intervention planning in Nigeria
Validation. A Comparison of state-level U5 PfPR from DHS surveys with simulation values, matched by year and month. Pearson correlation coefficients with 95% confidence intervals are shown in red. B 2018 malaria seasonality in the RIA data (routine health facility data) and simulation for two states. Incidence values in the RIA data were scaled by the median relative difference between the simulation and RIA data by state. Purple vertical lines represent 95% confidence data for monthly values. Blue vertical lines are the simulation ranges computed from 5 stochastic realizations. C Comparison of RIA data and simulation seasonality trends with a cross-correlation function