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Fig. 5 | Malaria Journal

Fig. 5

From: Evaluating the performance of Plasmodium falciparum genetic metrics for inferring National Malaria Control Programme reported incidence in Senegal

Fig. 5

AIC values for A GLMabove10 and B GLMbelow10 models calibrated with different combinations of genetic epidemiology metrics. P refers to polygenomic fraction, Cotx refers to cotransmission fraction, COI refers to THE REAL McCOIL COI, and M refers to the fraction of non-unique monogenomic clones. For convenience, models trained with all five genetic epidemiology metrics are labelled in black, four in blue, three in green, two in yellow, and one in red. Error bars indicate the 95% confidence interval obtained from leave-one-out cross-validation. The dotted blue line indicates the line of statistical significance relative to the best fitting model. Bars whose average is above the dotted line are statistically worse than the best-fitting model. Bars whose average is below the dotted line perform equally well as the best-fitting model

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